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Teams with higher CQBR win 75% of the time
You just learned that Complete Quarterback Rating (CQBR) accounts for 33 percent of variation in a team’s win/loss record. Do you still doubt the magnitude of the quarterback importance? Do you...
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SportsNerd: How well does statistical performance predict winning percentage?
P-ing on the NFL Welcome to yet another installment of SportsNerd. Now that all of the PCA results have been presented, it’s time to examine the overall regression results to see...
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SportsNerd: What special teams statistics are most important in predicting wins and losses?
P-ing on the NFL Prepare yourselves. Here it is: the fourth installment of SportsNerd, and the final presentation of principal components analysis (PCA) results. This week’s analysis deals with special teams....
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SportsNerd: What defensive statistics are most important in predicting wins and losses?
P-ing on the NFL Ahoy there, dorks and dweebs! Strap on your graphing calculators and get ready to punch your opponent in the mouth . . . with MATH. This week...
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SportsNerd: What offensive statistics are most important in predicting wins and losses?
P-ing on the NFL . . . Finally! Here you have it — the highly anticipated, groundbreaking, blockbuster report that you’ve all been losing sleep over: the results of the principal...
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SportsNerd: P-ing on the NFL
Winning (with apologies to Mr. Sheen) . . . do I want to bet on . . . being able to play three defensive games to shut down three great offenses?...







