CQBR: Peyton Manning dominant again in Week 13

By
Updated: December 6, 2013

Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning threw five touchdowns in Week 13 to top the Complete Quarterback Rating (CQBR) leaderboard yet again.

The 2013 regular season has been a period of prolific output for NFL quarterbacks, but we’re finally starting to see a gradual regression toward a more typical distribution of productivity.

At the top of Week 13 were some superb quarterbacking performances, as the Fantastic Five was populated by some pretty familiar names. But there were also a lot of average to subpar outings that brought the mean Complete Quarterback Rating (CQBR) to 56.34 — as low as we’ve seen all year.

That is encouraging news for those of us who contributed to the development of CQBR, because it gives us hope that the rating system won’t become outdated any time soon.

Indeed, it’s looking increasingly probable that no quarterback will finish this season with a year-to-date CQBR of over 100, indicating that we’re seeing less rating inflation that we’d feared early in the year.

Fantastic Five

After a rough first half in which he threw two interceptions, Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning came alive in the second half. His completion rate (62.9 percent) was not impeccable, but he averaged an amazing 11.5 yards per attempt for 403 yards and five touchdowns. His incredible CQBR of 121.81 was then set of the week.

Not to be done, Russell Wilson of the Seattle Seahawks completed a stellar 73.3 percent of his passes for an impressive 10.3 yards per attempt and three touchdowns. He added a respectable 47 yards on eight carries (5.9 ypc). Had he not taken the sack for -8 yards, his CQBR probably would have been the highest of the week. As it was, he narrowly trailed Manning to finish at 121.71.

If you’re wondering why the Carolina Panthers are hot on an eight-game winning streak, the answer is twofold: their dominant defense and their nimble quarterback. Cam Newton completed 62.1 percent of his passes for two touchdowns and averaged 9.1 yards per attempt despite tossing two interceptions. He also rushed five times for 68 yards (13.6 ypc) and scrambled for a touchdown to finish with a CQBR of 96.12.

Next in line was Tom Brady of the New England Patriots, who produced better passing stats than Newton (29 of 41 for 371 yards, 70.7 percent, 9.0 ypa, two touchdowns, and an interception), Tom Brady didn’t attempt so much as a single rush, which dropped his overall CQBR behind Newton at 93.17

Colin Kaepernick had an excellent day passing, completing 76.9 percent of his throws for 9.8 yards per attempt and one touchdown. He also rushed four times for 21 yards, while taking four sacks for -20 yards. He rounded out the Fabulous Five with a CQBR of 85.04.

Flaccid Five

He hasn’t been gifted with a talented supporting cast, but Kellen Clemens of the St. Louis Rams has shown pretty convincingly why he is a career backup. He completed just 51.4 percent of his passes at a scant 5.9 yards per attempt average, throwing one touchdown and one interception. He also was sacked three times for -20 yards to drag his CQBR down to 40.48.

Ryan Fitzpatrick can’t seem to get anything going consistently with the Tennessee Titans. Completing only 56.8 percent of his passes, he averaged merely 5.4 yards per attempt, throwing three interceptions against just one touchdown. He did rush for another score, but he also lost a fumble. Turnovers can wreck a team’s prospects in any game, and that is reflected in Fitzpatrick’s CQBR of 32.93.

Overall, Mike Glennon’s numbers didn’t look all that bad. He completed a solid 66.7 percent of his passes and averaged 8.6 yards per attempt. He wasn’t able to capitalize on this efficiency by scoring, however. He also threw an interception and lost a fumble, dropping his CQBR to 26.72.

Even the surest prospect in years apparently can’t withstand the loss of his star wide receiver. Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck has struggled mightily since Reggie Wayne was lost for the year with a knee injury. With a completion rate of just 53.1 percent, he averaged 6.3 yards per carry and threw an interception. He also took five sacks for -40 yards, suffering the ignominy of a 11.18 CQBR.

If Albert Einstein was right when he defined insanity as doing the same thing over and over, hoping for a different result, then it’s clear that the Green Bay Packers are suffering from a case of Flynnsanity. In contrast to his previous franchise-recordsetting performance against the Detroit Lions, Matt Flynn was utterly ineffective on Thanksgiving Day, managing to complete just 10 of 20 attempts for 139 yards and throwing an interception. He also lost two fumbles, finishing with an abysmal CQBR of -13.66.

Week 13 CQBR

Player PAtt Comp% Y/A Int PTD RAtt Y/A RTD Sk SkYd Fum CQBR
Peyton Manning 35 62.9 11.5 2 5 3 -1.0 0 0 0 0 121.81
Russell Wilson 30 73.3 10.3 0 3 8 5.9 0 1 8 0 121.71
Cam Newton 29 62.1 9.1 2 2 5 13.6 1 0 0 0 96.12
Tom Brady 41 70.7 9.0 1 2 0 0.0 0 1 6 0 93.17
Colin Kaepernick 28 67.9 9.8 0 1 4 5.3 0 4 20 0 85.04
Josh McCown 36 63.9 9.9 0 2 0 0.0 0 4 10 1 84.82
Ben Roethlisberger 44 63.6 5.8 0 2 1 11.0 0 0 0 0 78.97
Ryan Tannehill 43 65.1 7.7 1 2 3 7.3 0 1 3 0 78.95
Robert Griffin III 32 75.0 6.5 0 1 12 7.3 0 5 23 0 78.67
Eli Manning 28 78.6 8.4 1 1 3 0.0 0 3 29 0 77.07
Matthew Stafford 35 62.9 9.4 2 3 1 8.0 0 1 10 1 76.99
Alex Smith 42 61.9 7.0 1 2 4 11.5 0 0 0 0 75.82
Nick Foles 34 61.8 7.0 0 3 9 2.4 0 5 35 1 71.34
Tony Romo 32 71.9 7.0 0 1 1 -1.0 0 2 17 1 68.93
Andy Dalton 23 60.9 8.3 1 1 3 3.0 0 0 0 0 65.99
Joe Flacco 35 68.6 7.2 0 1 4 1.8 0 2 14 1 64.80
EJ Manuel 32 56.3 6.6 0 1 4 0.8 1 0 0 1 64.39
Philip Rivers 37 62.2 6.8 1 1 1 4.0 0 2 9 0 58.17
Brandon Weeden 40 60.0 9.3 2 3 2 2.5 0 3 28 2 57.27
Case Keenum 30 50.0 9.1 1 0 3 2.0 1 1 8 0 53.82
Carson Palmer 41 58.5 7.4 2 3 1 -1.0 0 5 42 1 52.93
Chad Henne 40 55.0 4.9 1 2 0 0.0 0 2 1 0 52.45
Matt Ryan 47 59.6 6.6 0 1 2 8.5 0 6 39 1 50.14
Matt McGloin 30 60.0 8.5 1 0 2 -0.5 0 0 0 0 49.76
Matt Cassel 33 60.6 7.4 1 1 1 0.0 0 2 9 1 46.43
Drew Brees 38 60.5 3.9 0 1 1 -1.0 0 1 3 1 42.73
Kellen Clemens 37 51.4 5.9 1 1 3 7.0 0 3 20 0 40.48
Ryan Fitzpatrick 37 56.8 5.4 3 1 8 6.8 1 1 16 1 32.93
Mike Glennon 21 66.7 8.6 1 0 2 1.5 0 5 40 1 26.72
Andrew Luck 32 53.1 6.3 1 0 5 8.4 0 5 40 2 11.18
Christian Ponder 8 37.5 5.0 0 0 0 0.0 0 3 24 0 0.72
Matt Simms 18 50.0 4.4 1 0 2 1.0 0 3 22 1 -12.05
Matt Flynn 20 50.0 7.0 1 0 2 2.0 0 7 37 2 -13.66
Geno Smith 10 40.0 2.9 1 0 1 2.0 0 1 8 0 -25.46
Avg 56.34

About the author(s)

Rourke Douglas Decker covers the Green Bay Packers beat for Water Cooler Sports. He resides with his family in the Twin Cities. He can be reached for questions or comments at . Connect with .

3616 comments
robertj72
robertj72

So If Cam can avoid the tragic injury of a Culpepper (or if medicine has advanced enough) I am right to have very high hopes? The fact Cam has close to the passing numbers with far less the receiving threat and greater running success makes me feel we can expect great things. 

Mostly I am impressed with how much Cam has matured in the last year.

jmac3444
jmac3444

That new wolverine movie that came out was actually pretty good

JJ CAROL1NA PANTHERS
JJ CAROL1NA PANTHERS

Steve Smith 54 Rec 632 yards 3 TDs

Greg Olsen 50 Rec 611 yards 5 TDs

 Brandon Lafell 43 Rec 531 yards 5 TDs

 Ted Ginn Jr. 29 Rec 469 yards 4 TDs

robertj72
robertj72

Imagine if Cam had two receivers the size and caliber of Moss and Carter....I have to go fap to that thought!

natradamus
natradamus

robert-  what the fuck is up with steve smith?  is he getting in the endzone this week for me?

robertj72
robertj72

OK...in my digging, the best comparison to Cam Newtons first 3 years is Dante Culpeppers first 3 years as a starter (2000-2002)...recall Culpepper had a rookie year to get acclimated and/or Donavan McNabb.


Cam in 48 games 10,536 yds passing

Culpepper in 47 games 10,402

McNabb in 42 games 7,546


Cam 59.6 completion percentage

Culpepper 62.2%

McNabb 56.4%


Cam 4.3 TD%

Culpepper 4.7%

McNabb 4.2%


Cam 2.9 INT%

Culpepper 3.7%

McNabb 2.5%


Cam 86.1 rating

Culpepper 87.8

McNabb 85.6


Cam 1,894 rushing yards

Culpepper 1,495 rush yards

McNabb 1,424 rush yards


Cam 59 passing TDs and 28 rushing TDs

Culpepper 65 passing and 22 rushing TDs

McNabb 54 passing and 8 rushing TDs

FalconsFan0125
FalconsFan0125 moderator

Last years SEC champ game > This years

robertj72
robertj72

He deserves a Probowl slot and deserves to miss it as he prepares for the SB.

They Took Their Jobs!
They Took Their Jobs!

So I am   I think losing so much in  his first two years  was the best thing that could of happened to him 

jmac3444
jmac3444

the d is more important for Carolina than the offense. they need to keep that defense together or the whole thing falls apart

natradamus
natradamus

I bet cam does not have nearly as many fumbles as culpepper.  his stats did not show the entire picture.

AllSaintsRow
AllSaintsRow moderator

the mid credit scenes were awesome!

natradamus
natradamus

I thought this was socialist.  give smith some TD's

jmac3444
jmac3444

 kind of like trying to pick between jacksonville and houston

The Real CJammin
The Real CJammin

It's going to be one hell of a pretty sloppy game I bet.

The Real CJammin
The Real CJammin

If that offense wins a National Championship, all I can think to say is "wow." 

natradamus
natradamus

hes got steve smith and greg olsen.  haha

robertj72
robertj72

the good news is we don't settle for 3 very much.

robertj72
robertj72

The Panthers under Shula have become very Socialistic. spreading the wealth. Olsen is always the top pick. It depends on where Panthers end up on field...if withing 10 yards it is Olsen or run. If over 25 it is Lafell of Ginn. Smitty gets the in between or at least a shot.

AllSaintsRow
AllSaintsRow moderator

So we can expect Cam to blow his knee out and sign with the Dolphins?

FalconsFan0125
FalconsFan0125 moderator

Falcons will be playing with hypothermia

AllSaintsRow
AllSaintsRow moderator

I find the lack of white QB comparisons offensive.

Not Your Buddy, Guy.
Not Your Buddy, Guy. moderator

Sure. But McNabb doesn't suck just because a QB in the modern era, and a QB who had Carter and Moss to throw to, have better stats than him.

The Real CJammin
The Real CJammin

No.  Becuase it was so well played up to the very last second.  UGA LOSING in the SEC Championship has no bearing on my opinion.

robertj72
robertj72

I looked at Steve Young and Rothlisberger first but the numbers weren't nearly as close.

jmac3444
jmac3444

 they compare more to the eagles. so-so wrs with a good defense

robertj72
robertj72

So is Carolina's so the comparisons continue. Vikings at that time was decent as well.

Not Your Buddy, Guy.
Not Your Buddy, Guy. moderator

He had Westbrook and no one else. His WRs were a who's who of crap. He gets T.O. and he goes where? The Super Bowl.

JJ CAROL1NA PANTHERS
JJ CAROL1NA PANTHERS

joking just saying Cam and Culpepper started off career better but doesn't mean anything 

natradamus
natradamus

I was thinking more of the culpepper effect, or really the moss/ carter effect

jmac3444
jmac3444

    that eagles d was pretty good too

They Took Their Jobs!
They Took Their Jobs!

Agreed NcNabb was damn good in his prime he was the main reason the Eagles went to 5(I think )NFC Championship game 

natradamus
natradamus

yeah.  those were some pretty good years.

I miss them.  a lot