CQBR: Nick Foles ahead of curve Week 9

By
Updated: November 6, 2013
Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Nick Foles leads the NFL in Complete Quarterback Rating (CQBR), not only for Week 9, but also for the 2013 season to date -- due in no small part to the fact that he has yet to turn the ball over.

Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Nick Foles leads the NFL in Complete Quarterback Rating (CQBR), not only for Week 9, but also for the 2013 season to date — due in no small part to the fact that he has yet to turn the ball over.

Week 9 featured some outstanding quarterbacking performances — headlined by Nick Foles and his record-tying seven touchdown passes — and some utterly incompetent ones, as backups Seneca Wallace and Jeff Tuel struggled when pressed into action.

All in all, though, it was a pretty good week for quarterbacks, as the average Complete Quarterback Rating (CQBR) was 66.41, well above the season-long average of 60.34 and much higher than the 10-year starter average of about 55.80.

Fabulous Five

What was perhaps most remarkable about the Fabulous Five this week is that three of quarterbacks did not start out the season as starters for their teams.

Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Nick Foles returned from injury to carve up the Oakland Raiders, throwing more touchdown passes (seven) than incompletions (six). He was efficient in pretty much every way you would want — including an unholy average of 14.5 yards per attempt — and finished with an absurd 212.40 CQBR to dwarf anything else we have seen this year.

New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady rebounded from his slump in style, lighting up the Pittsburgh Steelers to the tune of 13.1 yards per attempt, four touchdowns, and zero interceptions. His 143.64 CQBR would be good enough to lead the NFL most weeks.

Houston Texans quarterback Case Keenum was named the starter over healthy incumbent Matt Schaub, and he rewarded his coaches’ faith with an excellent performance. Keenum averaged over 10 yards per attempt, threw three touchdowns against no interceptions, and even added in some rushing yards. Unfortunately, three missed field goals left him as the week’s highest-rated losing quarterback, with a CQBR.

Cleveland Browns quarterback Jason Campbell was stellar in defeat of the Baltimore Ravens, completing 65.7 percent of his passes for 7.5 yards per attempt with three touchdowns and no turnovers.

Russell Wilson of the Seattle Seahawks didn’t seem to have a great game, accounting for less than 250 yards and turning it over twice, but he did move the ball efficiently both on the ground and through the air and racked up three total touchdowns.

Flaccid Five

This has certainly been a volatile season through eight weeks. Quarterbacks seem to leap blithely from the Flaccid Five to the Fantastic Five and back again.

Despite averaging an excellent 8.4 yards per attempt, Tennessee Titans quarterback Jake Locker found himself back in the basement because he threw a pair of interceptions and took four sacks. His saving grace was the touchdown for which he scrambled, which propped his CQBR up at 40.97.

It would be too generous to say that Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith is mired in mediocrity. This week he was utterly ineffective, averaging a scant 4.5 yards per attempt despite completing 65.5 percent of his passes. The only reason his CQBR wasn’t lower than 35.12 is that he managed not to throw any interceptions. At this point it’s probably fair to say that only a deep playoff wrong can save Smith’s job.

Terrelle Pryor of the Oakland Raiders offset a rushing touchdown with a terrible passing performance (53.7-percent completion rate, two interceptions) to finish with a CQBR of 29.36. Pryor also had the misfortune of being matched up against Nick Foles, so the Raiders probably wouldn’t have won no matter how well he played, but given the enormous contrast between the two quarterbacks’ performances, it’s no surprise this game ended in a  blowout.

An undrafted free agent who is the Buffalo Bill’s third stringer when everyone is healthy, Jeff Tuel proved just why he’s no starter against Kansas City. He completed less than half his passes, averaged a meager 5.9 yards per attempt, and had two turnovers against only one touchdown.

Andy Dalton followed up two straight appearances in the Fabulous Five with a trip to the bottom of the Flaccid Five. Dalton was atrocious against the Miami Dolphins, failing to score while turning the ball over four times. He also took the game-losing sack for a safety in overtime, one of five sacks Dalton absorbed on the day. His CQBR of 22.15 is a major reason the Cincinnati Benglas lost.

Bumbling Backups

Seneca Wallace was pressed into duty after Green Bay Packers starting quarterback Aaron Rodgers left with a shoulder injury, and he did not rise to the challenge.  Wallace completed only 57.9 percent of his passes, averaged only six yards per attempt, took four sacks, did not score, and turned the ball over once. His CQBR of 20.84 was the lowest posted by any quarterback with more than two attempts this week.

Week 9 CQBR

Name Att Comp% Y/A Int PTD RAtt Y/A TD Sk SkYd Fum CQBR
Nick Foles 28 78.6 14.5 0 7 3 4.7 0 2 5 0 212.40
Tom Brady 33 69.7 13.1 0 4 1 -1.0 0 3 19 0 143.64
Case Keenum 34 58.8 10.3 0 3 3 8.7 0 1 10 0 109.70
Jason Campbell 35 65.7 7.5 0 3 3 6.7 0 3 18 0 98.40
Russell Wilson 26 73.1 8.3 2 2 6 6.0 1 0 0 0 98.38
Mike Glennon 23 73.9 7.3 0 2 4 3.3 0 3 25 0 97.90
Ryan Tannehill 28 71.4 7.4 0 0 1 1.0 1 3 20 0 81.59
Josh McCown 41 53.7 6.6 0 2 1 20.0 0 1 1 0 72.03
Tony Romo 51 66.7 6.6 1 2 1 8.0 0 3 23 0 70.57
Ben Roethlisberger 48 58.3 8.3 2 4 2 -0.5 0 5 29 1 67.24
Robert Griffin III 32 71.9 9.1 1 0 6 2.8 0 0 0 0 66.68
Philip Rivers 46 63.0 7.4 2 2 2 7.0 0 1 0 0 66.17
Andrew Luck 40 45.0 6.8 0 3 0 0.0 0 4 26 0 64.55
Cam Newton 37 62.2 6.7 2 1 5 4.4 1 1 7 0 60.53
Aaron Rodgers 2 50.0 13.5 0 0 1 9.0 0 1 3 0 59.22
Joe Flacco 41 58.5 6.1 1 2 3 8.3 0 5 27 0 58.51
Christian Ponder 37 67.6 6.4 1 1 4 7.3 1 2 12 2 55.90
Kellen Clemens 35 57.1 6.0 0 1 1 16.0 0 2 7 1 50.38
Matt Ryan 27 74.1 8.1 3 1 2 1.0 0 1 8 0 50.02
Drew Brees 51 58.8 7.5 2 2 1 -1.0 0 2 16 1 49.97
Geno Smith 19 42.1 6.1 0 0 6 3.0 1 2 0 0 49.97
Jake Locker 22 59.1 8.4 2 0 3 3.3 1 4 20 0 40.97
Matt Barkley 3 66.7 4.3 0 0 2 -1.0 0 0 0 0 40.67
Alex Smith 29 65.5 4.3 0 0 4 1.8 0 2 9 1 35.12
Matt McGloin 15 46.7 5.8 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0 0 34.51
Terrelle Pryor 41 53.7 7.0 2 0 10 9.4 0 3 25 1 29.56
Jeff Tuel 39 46.2 5.9 2 1 3 5.7 0 0 0 0 28.32
Andy Dalton 53 60.4 6.4 3 0 5 2.4 0 5 36 1 22.15
Seneca Wallace 19 57.9 6.0 1 0 0 0.0 0 4 25 0 20.84
Brandon Weeden 2 50.0 -1 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0 0 4.08

Year-to-Date CQBR

It is extremely difficult to post a season CQBR of 100.00 — so difficult, in fact, that theoretically, no more than one full-time starting quarterback should be able to accomplish the feat every two years.

So far the numbers are holding true to form. Through nine weeks, only Nick Foles (who currently holds a mind-boggling CQBR of 114.65) and Peyton Manning (101.67) are on pace to finish with a CQBR over 100.00, and of those two, only Manning has started every game for his team.

Philip Rivers (93.87) remains on an almost-elite pace, while Drew Brees (85.16) and Aaron Rodgers (83.87) are maintaining well-above average performances. Rodgers’ future remains murky, though, as he seems likely to miss at least six weeks following his clavicle fracture.

Cam Newton (73.52), Matt Ryan (73.34), and Matthew Stafford (72.32) have all positioned themselves solidly in the upper third tier. Jay Cutler (67.59), who has missed time with a torn groin muscle, is easily having the best season of his career.

One of the bigger surprises is that Christian Ponder (51.91) has managed a slightly higher rating than Tom Brady (51.06), although their bodies of work are not really comparable, considering Brady has started nine games to Ponder’s five.

Still flush off Ozzie Newsome’s post-Super Bowl spending spree, Joe Flacco (50.54) continues to be a thoroughly below-average quarterback, which should shock precisely no one.

Perhaps the number that stands out the most is Alex Smith’s year-to-date CQBR of 56.03. Despite posting such unimpressive numbers, he has lead the Chiefs to nine straight wins. If nothing else, that goes to show just how dominant the Kansas City defense has been this year, and it may well also speak to the quality of their opponents.

Player PAtt Comp% Y/A Int PTD Rush Y/A TD Sk SkYd Fum CQBR
Nick Foles 118 62.7 8.7 0 13 12 3.5 1 7 32 0 114.65
Peyton Manning 333 71.2 8.8 6 29 22 -1.2 1 11 61 6 101.47
Philip Rivers 295 72.2 8.4 7 17 9 5.1 0 12 73 0 93.87
Jason Campbell 75 61.3 7.5 0 5 6 6.2 0 4 28 0 87.47
Drew Brees 322 66.1 8.3 7 21 21 1.5 1 20 131 2 85.16
Aaron Rodgers 251 66.9 8.8 4 15 29 4 0 18 112 3 83.87
Josh McCown 61 59 7.8 0 3 5 10.6 0 2 8 0 82.9
Case Keenum 59 59.3 10.5 0 4 6 6 0 6 60 2 81.05
Tony Romo 346 66.2 7.4 6 20 14 2.9 0 19 149 3 78.68
Cam Newton 239 64.4 7.5 7 13 55 4.6 4 22 180 2 73.53
Matt Ryan 332 67.8 7.4 10 15 7 2.1 0 14 120 1 73.34
Matthew Stafford 338 62.4 7.7 6 16 20 1.3 2 10 74 5 72.32
Andrew Luck 264 58.3 7 3 13 28 6.5 3 19 129 2 70.93
Jake Locker 174 61.5 7.1 3 8 21 6.5 2 16 105 2 69.02
Matt Cassel 69 69.6 7.1 2 3 4 3 0 4 26 1 68.31
Jay Cutler 225 64.9 7.4 7 12 18 5.1 0 10 71 4 67.59
Andy Dalton 332 64.8 7.8 10 16 32 2.8 0 21 126 4 67.35
Russell Wilson 231 62.3 8 6 15 67 5.6 1 27 167 8 65.61
Sam Bradford 262 60.7 6.4 4 14 15 2.1 0 15 97 3 65.02
Colin Kaepernick 198 57.1 8 5 9 49 6 3 15 78 5 63.29
Michael Vick 141 54.6 8.6 3 5 34 9.1 2 15 99 4 60.64
Brian Hoyer 96 59.4 6.4 3 5 6 2.7 0 6 48 0 60.38
Ben Roethlisberger 308 64.9 7.6 9 12 12 4.1 0 31 193 6 59.01
Matt Schaub 233 64.4 6.7 9 8 1 5 0 15 105 0 57.89
Alex Smith 315 59.7 6.1 4 9 53 5 1 26 134 2 56.03
Christian Ponder 158 62 6.8 6 3 24 6 4 15 69 4 51.91
Tom Brady 340 57.1 6.6 6 13 23 0.7 0 26 168 5 51.06
Joe Flacco 310 59.4 7 9 10 12 5.3 0 25 161 4 50.54
Mike Glennon 204 60.3 5.7 3 8 13 3.6 0 13 117 5 49.72
Terrelle Pryor 198 61.1 7.3 9 5 63 7.7 1 25 171 4 49.39
Robert Griffin III 300 60.3 7.2 9 9 49 5.2 0 14 126 9 47.89
Chad Henne 218 60.6 6.7 5 3 12 1.6 0 16 103 1 47.19
Ryan Tannehill 289 60.6 6.8 9 11 22 3.8 1 35 236 8 46.78
EJ Manuel 150 56.7 6.6 3 5 25 3.6 0 13 74 3 46.74
Carson Palmer 284 61.3 6.7 14 10 12 1.3 0 23 159 3 45.24
Geno Smith 272 58.1 7.3 13 8 36 4.8 3 30 218 6 43.15
Eli Manning 307 55.7 7.1 15 10 9 4.2 0 19 120 3 40.87
Thad Lewis 103 60.2 6.3 2 3 14 2.5 1 13 71 6 36.86
Ryan Fitzpatrick 78 52.6 6.7 4 2 14 5.8 1 6 27 3 31.41
Brandon Weeden 197 52.8 5.8 6 5 9 4.1 0 21 146 3 31.3
Matt Flynn 34 64.7 7.2 1 1 3 1.3 0 7 33 3 26.48
Seneca Wallace 19 57.9 6 1 0 0 0 0 4 25 0 20.84
Jeff Tuel 59 44.1 5.2 3 1 3 5.7 0 2 11 0 16.57
Josh Freeman 147 42.9 5.2 4 2 5 4 0 8 61 2 14.69
Kellen Clemens 70 52.9 5.5 2 1 3 9 0 7 38 4 12.78
T.J. Yates 22 68.2 5.1 2 0 1 0 0 2 7 1 3.85
Blaine Gabbert 86 48.8 5.6 7 1 9 3.6 0 12 67 2 0.72
Matt Barkley 49 61.2 6.1 4 0 2 -1 0 3 24 3 -4.5

About the author(s)

Johnathan Wood is a passionate fan of the Chicago Bears, Bulls, Blackhawks, Cubs, and Northwestern Wildcats. He enjoys being the beat writer for the Bears at Water Cooler Sports and being obnoxiously unapologetic about how his favorite teams are more awesome than yours. Feel free to email him at if you have any comments or suggestions. Connect with .

2547 comments
G & G
G & G moderator

helloooo


niemerg1
niemerg1

i love how the rick reilly articles are no longer allowed comments...i guess ESPN doesn't want us to say how we really feel

cd me
cd me

Morning you degenerates. :) 

Donny33
Donny33

goddamn busy again today.  I'll be back periodically to say something racist, post a boob gif, or say something insanely idiotic.  Good day.

Preparation_A
Preparation_A moderator

Favorite Pick Spread Probability 

WAS @MIN +2.5 69% 

@TEN JAX +12.0 60% 

@GB @GB -1.5 59% 

 @PIT @PIT -3.5 56% 

@NYG @NYG -7.0 73% 

@IND @IND -9.5 61% 

 SEA @ATL +6.0 56% 

CIN @BAL +1.5 78% 

 DET DET -2.5 69% 

@SF @SF -6.0 67% 

@ARI HOU +2.0 57% 

 DEN DEN -7.0 60% 

@NO DAL +7.0 60% 

MIA @TB +2.5 83%

Donny33
Donny33

greeting, vagina spelunkers.

Preparation_A
Preparation_A moderator

FavoritePickSpreadProbability WAS@MIN+2.569% @TENJAX+12.060% @ % @ % @ % @ % SEA@ATL+6.056% CIN@BAL+1.578% DETDET-2.569% @ % @ARIHOU+2.057% DENDEN-7.060% @NODAL+7.060% MIA@TB+2.583%

niemerg1
niemerg1

it is dead in here today...

Rob Ryan's Hair
Rob Ryan's Hair

uploaded a new photo


The best Brett Favre GIF of all time?

niemerg1
niemerg1

son of a bitch...platstats is blocked at work now...

rocketman6969
rocketman6969

I've also got this one for Lions fans, knowing they are 5-3, tied for the division lead, and that Cutler and Rodgers are hurt.

rocketman6969
rocketman6969

I've been searching and searching, and finally found the image that most accurately represents how I feel about the Falcons at the halfway point of the season.

Staffords_Glove
Staffords_Glove

Whoa, Brooks Brothers veterans day sale has some crazy deals. Lots of stuff 70% off

rocketman6969
rocketman6969

 ...so tempting to repost the Dafoe gif here...

Donny33
Donny33

 who's this prep a guy?

Preparation_A
Preparation_A moderator

Fuck. That was for you Niemerg. It sucks though.

rocketman6969
rocketman6969

 I blame my Willem Dafoe gif, it's freaking people out.

MIBearFan
MIBearFan moderator

  

Most of their prices are ridiculous to begin with.

cd me
cd me

  what dick? oh, you mean the one in your mouth? 

cd me
cd me

  im at work, no sex talk for me. 

Preparation_A
Preparation_A moderator

   

Hmmmm, what would this consist of?

cd me
cd me

we can, take a shower please, thanks.  from everyone. :)

Preparation_A
Preparation_A moderator

   

Some fuckin Frog-Mick-Kraut piece of shit.

niemerg1
niemerg1

  never heard of him...

niemerg1
niemerg1

  im surprised by this...not that they are expected to win, that they have a + spread...i would put the spread at 0...

niemerg1
niemerg1

  well, it might be just a simple string search block...i can get to the main page and the results articles...just not the weekly picks

Staffords_Glove
Staffords_Glove

  On some stuff yes. But their non iron dress shirts are excellent and extremely comfortable. Polos and chinos arent generally too much either. Their suits and formal stuff are what break the bank

cd me
cd me

   is there areason why you are such a jerk? All i said was GM. sheesh. 

cd me
cd me

   so? get over it. Youre gonna give yourself a stroke. lol

niemerg1
niemerg1

i never said it wasn't...the lady doth protest too much...

and maybe not on your knees, but its in a position where the viewer is looking down on you like you are taking one in the mouth

cd me
cd me

   its me, and i am not on my knees dummy

niemerg1
niemerg1

  you have an avatar of a girl on her knees and you accuse others  of having a dick in their mouth?

Preparation_A
Preparation_A moderator

    

I like to call this one:

"McCarthy, dumbfounded by his own bumbling playcalls"

niemerg1
niemerg1

  with a fucking lazy eye for an avatar