Will the Super Bowl reflect how the NFC has dominated the AFC in 2012?
When the San Francisco 49ers and Baltimore Ravens meet in the Super Bowl, nobody knows who will win. Both teams feature talented, versatile rosters led by quarterbacks playing well in the playoffs, and football fans can only hope for an entertaining, back-and-forth game that comes down to the last minutes.
That was not the case this season, however, for the two conferences these teams represent. The NFC has dominated the AFC right from the start, and a closer look at the numbers after the season reveals just how wide the disparity between these two conferences was this year. Let’s dive right in and see just how ugly it was for the AFC.
Every year, each team plays one division (four teams) from the opposite conference. This means that there are 64 interconference games each year, and the NFC went 39-25 in those games in 2012, for an astounding 0.609 win percentage.
This was not dependent upon only a few teams, as you can clearly see in the table below. Of the sixteen NFC teams, twelve had a higher win percentage in their AFC games than they did in their NFC games; one had the same win percentage, and only three had a worse win percentage against the AFC than they did against the NFC.
|NFC Team||AFC Win %||NFC Win %||Difference|
|New York Giants||0.25||0.67||-0.42|
From top to bottom, it is easy to see that the NFC was a significantly stronger conference than the AFC. Is the same true for playoff teams from each conference, or did the NFC look good simply because it was deeper?
There were nine matchups this year between NFC and AFC where both teams ended up going to the playoffs. The NFC won six of those nine tilts (0.667 win %), but that is a small sample size. Perhaps a better way to measure these playoff entrants is to examine the records of only playoff teams against their opponents from the other conference.
|Win % in conference||0.750||0.662|
|Win % out of conference||0.583||0.792|
The chart above shows the win percentage of playoff teams against in-conference and out-of-conference opponents. The trends here are extremely clear and extremely revealing. The AFC playoff teams had a significantly higher win percentage against their fellow AFC teams than NFC teams, while the NFC playoff teams beefed their records up against the AFC more than their own conference.
The numbers are in, and they don’t lie. No matter what way you look at it, the NFC was a much better conference than the AFC in 2012. But it is important to note that this does not mean anything about who will win the Super Bowl. The NFC champion San Francisco 49ers have come through the tougher conference in both the regular season and the playoffs, but that does not mean they will beat (or even should be favored over) the AFC champion Baltimore Ravens.
Either an AFC or NFC team could easily leave New Orleans with the Vince Lombardi trophy Sunday night, but that will say nothing about which conference had the better year. Regardless of the outcome Sunday night, NFC fans (and that is all of us here at WCSN) can rest assured that they have clear conference bragging rights until the AFC can level the playing field.
Oops, wrong brand of football. My bad. Same principle though. Until proven otherwise, the NFC remains king of the NFL.
About the author(s)
Receivers I would rather have than Victor Cruz...
AJ Green, Julio Jones, Michael Crabtree, Calvin Johnson, Roddy White, Brandon Marshall, Greg Jennings, Dewayne Bowe, Vincent Jackson, Demarius Thomas, Hakeem Nicks, Dez Bryant, Larry Fitzgerald, Mike Wallace, Andre Johnson, Reggie Wayne (for a year at least)... basically guys that can play on the outside.
so since the Chiefs have to spend about $30 million in the offseason to get top the cap floor, who all do they look at?
Victor Cruz is a restricted Free Agent and can negoatiate with any team and the Giants have the right to match or recieve a 1st round pick for him. If I'm the Vikings I give Cruz a serious look and maybe over pay for him to Force the Giants hand.
If this make you happy
@Buhlitz Well I was the one who got pissed off at Rich McCay for not trading up to the #2 spot from 7 when the Lions didnt really want to take yet another WR, but he thought Jamaal Anderson would be a good player........All Georgia people, especially Atlanta people were pissed with the Falcons because 2007 was our worst year start to finish
@Buhlitz and i remember at the start of the 2012 season Lions fans saying Stafford was a top 5 QB
@Buhlitz If you recall I was defending CJ adamantly as a top 5 receiver on the Gulag when Cris Carter dissed him...
@Buhlitz Well he does have more Old Spice commercials
@adambballn Apparently getting a guy that averages 1200 yards and 10 TDs isnt that good. Also considering hes 24 should also play into factoring for a long term WR
@adambballn Jordy Nelson gets no love?
@adambballn hell i'd take Cobb too, with him he also doubles as a damn good kick returner
@Aciddragon Japanese are fucking weird. have you seen their commercials?
Scratch that, all of asia is fucking weird.
@Aciddragon So I'd be hot shit in Japan?? HMMM!!
@Aciddragon I thought it would be eye widening
@Aciddragon Joe Flacco lol O-Line, Jake Long, Michael Vick
@Joedirte If no one was giving up a 1st round pick for Wallace last year no one will be giving one up for Cruz this year.
Well the main thing the Vikings need is a WR to take the pressure off of AP and to help Ponder develop.....Now would you rather get a WR at the 23rd pick or get a Pro Bowl WR
@Joedirte I would do it if I were the Redskins....win/win...they need a top notch WR for Griffin and if they offer him a ton and NYG match they have weakened them financially.
@Joedirte cruz to the lions, all we have to do is dump half our roster to free up some space
I remember loins fans predicting big things every year after they drafted ManCans and Suhspension
@Joedirte but in 7 games he had 50 yards or less
in 3 games less than 60
and in 5 games he had over 100
the guy is boom or bust
@Buhlitz hell have you seen there porn.........
oh wait what am i thinking of course you have
@adambballn hell teams wouldn't part with a 3rd round pick for Sammie Lee Hill from Detroit last year and he's worth that
@Joedirte they have Harvin coming back (maybe if they don't trade him) but they need a big WR and Cruz isn't that, if he isn't franchised i'd take a look at Bowe first
@Joedirte There are a few better than Cruz....Fitz comes to mind
@Joedirte whoops he played in 3 games didn't record a catch then went on IR
@Joedirte it's his 3rd season, his rookie season he was inactive for every game
@adambballn @Joedirte they move him and Nicks around and he beats #1 corners all the time. I know he might get too much love from ESPN because hes a New York guy but this guy is a playmaker and I would want him on my team if he were available. And as a long term WR looking into the future 8-10 years I only have Megatron, Julio Jones and AJ Green ahead of him
@Aciddragon @adambballn I personally don't think Cruz is a top 10 receiver either. I think he's a slot guy, who rarely if ever faces a double team, that snuck up on a lot of people last year due to being a rookie. The only big games he had last season were against awful pass defenses... TB, NO's, Washington...
@Joedirte i was talking if Bowe isn't franchised
@robertj72 Wallace is inconsistant and Nicks isnt as durable as Cruz
@robertj72 he's a restricted free agent, he only has 3 years or less of NFL time so the Giants can basically put a less expensive franchise tag on him
@Buhlitz yeah Stafford at $25 million is a bit much